Market · 32 of 42 outcomes
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 22:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 402,364 | 0.8¢ | $201 | Positive+$120.85 per $100 · 643 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 149,604 | 0.2¢ | $75 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 59 | 99.9¢ | $59 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,053 bets |
| DawnOfYemen0xc34a…6007 | Yes | 100,000 | 0.5¢ | $50 | Proven+$3.27 per $100 · 1,824 bets |
| 0x0ca8…d2ce | No | 29 | 99.3¢ | $29 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 191 bets |
| 0xf8cd…69a6 | No | 26 | 99.4¢ | $26 | — |
| 0x7120…5252 | No | 25 | 99.4¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x39e7…cc1e | No | 24 | 99.4¢ | $24 | — |
| qcp10x9f44…7470 | Yes | 42,458 | 0.3¢ | $21 | — |
| 0x1cb3…206c | No | 21 | 99.1¢ | $21 | — |
| 0xd1db…37ff | No | 21 | 99.4¢ | $21 | — |
| applepear0xbc4e…4439 | No | 20 | 98.8¢ | $20 | — |
| tiger55100x3f2d…2adc | Yes | 38,316 | 0.5¢ | $19 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 184 bets |
| tiger5550xd600…b66e | Yes | 29,357 | 0.6¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 497 bets |
| 0x998b…db96 | Yes | 28,762 | 0.1¢ | $14 | — |
| dongxing0x1e4d…5098 | No | 12 | 99.0¢ | $12 | — |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 23,738 | 0.8¢ | $12 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| skolo0xb0c2…87c3 | Yes | 23,564 | 2.1¢ | $12 | — |
| huizhig0xc834…a341 | No | 11 | 99.1¢ | $11 | — |
| dingidongi00090xeb58…9843 | No | 10 | 99.7¢ | $10 | — |
| benvverratti0x564e…0c93 | No | 10 | 99.4¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xf4f5…c77c | Yes | 20,008 | 0.9¢ | $10 | — |
| mignonpignon0x6fb2…7adf | Yes | 18,000 | 1.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$1.07 per $100 · 478 bets |
| 0x11fa…6239 | No | 9 | 99.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Lepolo0x9127…6ff3 | No | 8 | 93.4¢ | $8 | Proven+$4.07 per $100 · 907 bets |
| Arimondz0x5dcc…619c | Yes | 14,545 | 0.8¢ | $7 | New30 settled bets |
| 0xb58a…fac7 | Yes | 13,215 | 0.8¢ | $7 | — |
| Bikolen30x3d2d…5f6a | No | 6 | 99.3¢ | $6 | — |
| BenMartinGva0x93f1…755d | Yes | 11,028 | 1.2¢ | $6 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 11,000 | 0.6¢ | $5 | Positive+$12.27 per $100 · 3,945 bets |
| Donintello0x1d38…2078 | Yes | 10,760 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Positive+$2.49 per $100 · 141 bets |
| sadergyj0x830b…4c6f | No | 5 | 98.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 10,000 | 0.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$9.99 per $100 · 2,568 bets |
| 0x4930…1228 | Yes | 10,000 | 1.1¢ | $5 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 8,907 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | Yes | 8,843 | 0.5¢ | $4 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| Madison97210xa869…6b20 | No | 4 | 0.0¢ | $4 | — |
| fkvsxre0xa364…35dc | No | 4 | 99.5¢ | $4 | — |
| 4356578980x3a1e…7aa6 | No | 4 | 99.7¢ | $4 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 7,756 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| LosContrex0xf415…0f5e | Yes | 7,278 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x86a2…db18 | Yes | 7,021 | 0.9¢ | $4 | — |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | 5,555 | 0.3¢ | $3 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 5,466 | 0.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$42.20 per $100 · 2,803 bets |
| ellebel0xa408…3dc1 | Yes | 5,313 | 1.4¢ | $3 | — |
| Alistotle0x7efb…add5 | Yes | 5,200 | 1.0¢ | $3 | — |
| anbol0xa5d9…8177 | Yes | 4,286 | 0.7¢ | $2 | — |
| jotta10x1a7c…5cd2 | No | 2 | 99.2¢ | $2 | New91 settled bets |
| 0x32dc…1c92 | No | 2 | 99.7¢ | $2 | — |
| revol0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | 3,935 | 0.5¢ | $2 | Proven+$12.69 per $100 · 229 bets |
| 0x3e3d…bbfa | No | 2 | 98.6¢ | $2 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 3,813 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 6,756 bets |
| Jesuschristsuperstar0xfc53…9754 | Yes | 3,600 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Nalgana0xa35a…74a3 | Yes | 3,405 | 1.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x539b…c64f | Yes | 3,240 | 0.3¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 793 bets |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | Yes | 3,026 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,380 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 3,000 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 66,097 bets |
| CoffeeDespiser0x629c…6c01 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 2,081 bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 2,222 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| Rocamado0x7be5…a53b | No | 1 | 99.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 5,395 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2,102 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,576 bets |
| technician20x26cf…c612 | Yes | 2,032 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.20 per $100 · 4,713 bets |
| Fopporelli0x1047…ee8f | No | 1 | 98.9¢ | $1 | — |
| GordonJoe0xa303…4b8c | No | 1 | 99.1¢ | $1 | — |
| gehwxsmkiq0xc7d9…39e7 | No | 1 | 99.3¢ | $1 | — |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 2,000 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.48 per $100 · 10,703 bets |
| 0xb077…51be | Yes | 1,850 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| LucieC.0x983f…fd5e | Yes | 1,672 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 707 bets |
| 0x4b57…cf91 | Yes | 1,667 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| enormous0x6bf7…f854 | Yes | 1,667 | 1.2¢ | $1 | New39 settled bets |
| 0x7618…e714 | Yes | 1,410 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| ViennaBlues0x5c86…e223 | Yes | 1,350 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| LeGarsPelot0x4919…33fb | Yes | 1,263 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,219 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.44 per $100 · 6,528 bets |
| gesst0xadaf…f9f2 | Yes | 1,200 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Proven+$17.17 per $100 · 568 bets |
| honduraslover0xaff3…6ecc | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.79 per $100 · 17,393 bets |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | Yes | 1,048 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 5,990 bets |
| hklcrypt0x7449…c05e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9b4b…591c | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| lonelyfighter0x97c6…6587 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6a07…2952 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| AIDROPP0x6f2a…9551 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| laoqiaoa0xb363…9544 | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9e7c…f06f | No | 0 | 99.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Kijerillo0x1aad…94eb | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Laurentdepau0x38ab…ab66 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa996…34b5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| llhj0x65f7…cdce | No | 0 | 99.2¢ | $0 | — |
| waterfall00x67bc…d54e | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 2,474 bets |
| 0x9120…2fcc | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd39c…8d35 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xaced…7eb5 | No | 0 | 99.2¢ | $0 | — |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | No | 0 | 99.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 28,074 bets |
| 0x8220…92a5 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| p1erekup0x43a9…faeb | No | 0 | 98.6¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,771 bets |
| jieinw0x80c2…c3d6 | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | — |
| shine0xe4cf…78c4 | No | 0 | 99.1¢ | $0 | — |
| JoE0x7740…cbcd | Yes | 31 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 11,334 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
French Presidential Election · 2027 · 1 event · $3.11M in play
Exactly one of this event's 42 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.