Market · 14 of 23 outcomes
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| caviaro0xb36b…7804 | Yes | 193,434 | 0.1¢ | $97 | Proven+$4.76 per $100 · 867 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 60,285 | 0.1¢ | $30 | Positive+$12.24 per $100 · 3,937 bets |
| 64MGX75VLQ0xf4d0…4637 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 1,100 bets |
| puipui24860x70d9…a684 | Yes | 30,636 | 2.2¢ | $15 | Positive+$28.52 per $100 · 4,039 bets |
| gopay0xb9d2…fb68 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| artiste0xa42a…cb8e | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| 76GHFTDFG0x1e9c…e3fe | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| bulbnbob0x77b5…9170 | No | 7 | 99.8¢ | $7 | — |
| morilun0xff4e…5502 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$23.91 per $100 · 5,446 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 9,316 | 2.2¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 7,609 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$8.03 per $100 · 18,922 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 7,168 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$5.55 per $100 · 87,620 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 7,049 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 101,968 bets |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 6,033 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$9.92 per $100 · 2,566 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 5,668 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,770 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 4,682 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,135 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 3,893 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,869 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 3,587 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | 2,747 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| ykiro0x5006…3b51 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 2,600 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| Tytoreppo0xf7ca…6d10 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| huanglikun14780x04aa…09ea | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 1,650 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 3,807 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,443 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,075 bets |
| rocky420100x84d7…298f | Yes | 1,250 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.82 per $100 · 9,913 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 1,144 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.36 per $100 · 22,813 bets |
| 0x4c63…185c | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.38 per $100 · 9,404 bets |
| 10KPnl0x8646…ed78 | Yes | 960 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 920 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 807 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6cf5…4a23 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| avengers2357avengers0xf95e…ec50 | Yes | 724 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 705 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.06 per $100 · 87,025+ bets · updating |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 674 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 627 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| 0x551b…b47e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 355 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 542 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 50,296 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 519 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,120 bets |
| Ouaksor0x3542…2e5b | Yes | 515 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| makt9b0x7b9a…f9d7 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| KyeDavis0x98b8…baa7 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| thi3f0xc982…044b | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcb97…ac71 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xdaf9…dba5 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe5ab…8b8d | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 450 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 441 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 437 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.70 per $100 · 17,596 bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 436 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| user-570x3af1…9ed5 | Yes | 430 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| cash-machine0x5566…7c29 | Yes | 409 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x274b…61e6 | Yes | 395 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| mymacbook0x0999…dd96 | Yes | 377 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 334 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Laurentdepau0x38ab…ab66 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2c78…adf3 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x01d2…c603 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9120…2fcc | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8220…92a5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x227b…76f9 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| jeanmermier0x1e63…7267 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| influenz.eth0xe8dd…ec86 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 45,814 bets |
| 0xde06…bcb7 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| lonelyfighter0x97c6…6587 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa996…34b5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd39c…8d35 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9b4b…591c | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa158…1c1b | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2f6d…9e53 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| hellex0xdb09…68f7 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9e7c…f06f | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| nullpointa0xc617…0d15 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3317…76b4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Reedling4ever130x0910…9666 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| IRivnaya0x394b…e2cd | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| KhangNguyen240x60d9…678d | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| yemobabs040x83f2…186a | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Bal858108260xab33…593d | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| JD280710xbe59…972f | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Ali761069770xdf86…7202 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| trantrikhanh30xfa73…836d | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| shine0xe4cf…78c4 | Yes | 0 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | Yes | 0 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 28,074 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 737 events · $33.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.