Market · 23 of 23 outcomes
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 666js0x4e27…7ae6 | No | 300 | 98.6¢ | $300 | — |
| caviaro0xb36b…7804 | Yes | 109,672 | 0.1¢ | $55 | Proven+$4.76 per $100 · 867 bets |
| trailwin0xc520…63e6 | No | 21 | 99.4¢ | $21 | — |
| 64MGX75VLQ0xf4d0…4637 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 1,100 bets |
| Protrad0x409f…543a | Yes | 37,500 | 0.1¢ | $19 | Losing−$1.43 per $100 · 367 bets |
| exexex6660x8ba3…737c | No | 18 | 99.4¢ | $18 | — |
| huyewell0x907d…20c4 | Yes | 34,197 | 0.1¢ | $17 | Positive+$22.49 per $100 · 3,919 bets |
| 0x6973…53ca | No | 17 | 99.2¢ | $17 | New55 settled bets |
| gopay0xb9d2…fb68 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 27,582 | 0.1¢ | $14 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| puipui24860x70d9…a684 | Yes | 26,950 | 2.2¢ | $13 | Positive+$28.52 per $100 · 4,039 bets |
| Anne6660x0873…09e8 | Yes | 15,554 | 0.1¢ | $8 | Positive+$60.07 per $100 · 7,844 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 12,753 | 0.2¢ | $6 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| sozo0x8253…0d46 | Yes | 10,829 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus0x9d69…ab3a | No | 5 | 98.1¢ | $5 | — |
| morilun0xff4e…5502 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$23.91 per $100 · 5,446 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 9,338 | 2.2¢ | $5 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,566 bets |
| MayaWard0xb031…996a | No | 4 | 99.1¢ | $4 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 7,609 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 18,866 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 7,174 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,366 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 6,713 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,285 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 5,675 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 57,163 bets |
| 17RRoo0x26b7…68a2 | No | 2 | 92.7¢ | $2 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 4,732 | 0.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$12.19 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 4,114 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,106 bets |
| Mitherandir0xd990…4349 | No | 2 | 99.5¢ | $2 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 3,801 | 2.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,847 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 3,781 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| Allez-vous-en0xb742…4263 | Yes | 3,075 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x93dd…2b33 | No | 1 | 97.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | 2,737 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| baviara0x707b…c1a6 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 2,571 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| EbecMjn0x0262…23dd | Yes | 2,176 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| bahe0xe2b5…fc1a | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Tillerosto0x88fe…104d | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 2,000 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.92 per $100 · 2,566 bets |
| 0xb30f…1391 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 1,650 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 3,807 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,609 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| 0x0d23…8af0 | Yes | 1,484 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 1,237 | 2.1¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,232 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0x993f…35cb | No | 1 | 94.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,167 | 1.3¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| LetTheGoodTimesRoll0x1408…b4f8 | No | 1 | 96.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 1,002 | 1.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.36 per $100 · 22,813 bets |
| 0x4c63…185c | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.38 per $100 · 9,404 bets |
| Binotto0xdd9e…49b3 | Yes | 880 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$19.17 per $100 · 1,659 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 860 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 807 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| avengers2357avengers0xf95e…ec50 | Yes | 724 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 705 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.13 per $100 · 58,633+ bets · updating |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 674 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 627 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 554 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 542 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| olibillions0xe6d6…58f0 | Yes | 525 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 519 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,120 bets |
| 0xdaf9…dba5 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe5ab…8b8d | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| shine0xe4cf…78c4 | Yes | 259 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa158…1c1b | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9120…2fcc | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| sebelmaestro0x1a96…9797 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 5,892 bets |
| 0x9e7c…f06f | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| influenz.eth0xe8dd…ec86 | No | 0 | 99.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 45,814 bets |
| LinaBell0xf0ed…47d8 | No | 0 | 98.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.84 per $100 · 2,416 bets |
| jeanmermier0x1e63…7267 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3317…76b4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe36a…671d | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | Yes | 58 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 28,074 bets |
| 0x72e0…0b96 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd39c…8d35 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8220…92a5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9b4b…591c | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd786…d09e | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x01d2…c603 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| hklcrypt0x7449…c05e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| tiger55110x3e6a…e86d | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 1,074 bets |
| 0x6cf5…4a23 | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | — |
| lonelyfighter0x97c6…6587 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Laurentdepau0x38ab…ab66 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x227b…76f9 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6a07…2952 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc367…09a2 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| nullpointa0xc617…0d15 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa996…34b5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| AnEggplant0xc97d…732b | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 2 | 4.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,993 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 713 events · $33.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.