Market · 7 of 7 outcomes
Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 9,833 | 3.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 625 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 7,149 | 3.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.81 per $100 · 101,137 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 7,065 | 3.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$5.60 per $100 · 87,278 bets |
| 0x8b8b…2512 | Yes | 6,003 | 3.4¢ | $3 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 5,790 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 63,281+ bets · updating |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 5,051 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.65 per $100 · 14,530 bets |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$2.43 per $100 · 5,618 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 3,961 | 3.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 3,297 | 3.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$9.62 per $100 · 17,356 bets |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 3,089 | 3.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.24 per $100 · 20,559 bets |
| VerilyWinningly0x6276…9db5 | Yes | 2,754 | 3.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$27.82 per $100 · 1,250 bets |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | Yes | 2,077 | 2.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.43 per $100 · 38,405+ bets · updating |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 1,822 | 1.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 1,731 | 3.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.88 per $100 · 52,957+ bets · updating |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 1,610 | 3.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| 0x225b…422a | Yes | 1,435 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$9.78 per $100 · 302 bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 1,370 | 1.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 783 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 749 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| SPLPB0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | 704 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.97 per $100 · 5,635 bets |
| i18z0xd49b…bdf9 | Yes | 685 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 556 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 9,359 bets |
| nipert0xb0f3…340a | Yes | 443 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 425 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 400 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 364 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 352 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 340 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 330 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.52 per $100 · 10,908 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 326 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,457 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 319 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum0xcd91…32b8 | Yes | 279 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 41,780 bets |
| nufonehudis670x6b44…be1e | Yes | 259 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 252 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| OmaJane0x5aec…904b | Yes | 240 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| letmecookibegyou0xd6be…00c5 | Yes | 226 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| sehor0x855e…f399 | Yes | 218 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 211 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.14 per $100 · 30,125+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 201 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | Yes | 188 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 185 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 176 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 168 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 156 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | Yes | 150 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.62 per $100 · 20,256 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 126 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 120 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| Binotto0xdd9e…49b3 | Yes | 118 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$19.17 per $100 · 1,659 bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 110 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 659 events · $32.2M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.