Market · 6 of 7 outcomes
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 9,833 | 3.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 636 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 7,149 | 3.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,480 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 7,065 | 3.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,360 bets |
| 0x8b8b…2512 | Yes | 6,005 | 3.4¢ | $3 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 5,806 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.69 per $100 · 144,760+ bets · updating |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 5,205 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.66 per $100 · 14,703 bets |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,624 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 3,961 | 3.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,120 bets |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 3,297 | 3.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$9.70 per $100 · 17,596 bets |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 3,089 | 3.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.22 per $100 · 20,606 bets |
| VerilyWinningly0x6276…9db5 | Yes | 2,754 | 3.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$27.82 per $100 · 1,250 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 2,453 | 3.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,107+ bets · updating |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | Yes | 2,077 | 2.3¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 50,296 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 1,822 | 1.8¢ | $1 | New0 settled bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 1,610 | 3.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 1,370 | 1.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 783 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,988 bets |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 749 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| SPLPB0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | 704 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.91 per $100 · 5,696 bets |
| i18z0xd49b…bdf9 | Yes | 685 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 556 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.63 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| PollyForge0xc540…f00d | Yes | 454 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 425 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 400 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 364 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 352 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 340 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | Yes | 338 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 330 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.02 per $100 · 11,252 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 326 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 319 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum0xcd91…32b8 | Yes | 279 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 41,780 bets |
| nufonehudis670x6b44…be1e | Yes | 259 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 252 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,746 bets |
| anciente0xb6fa…abcf | Yes | 252 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 39,443 bets |
| OmaJane0x5aec…904b | Yes | 240 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| letmecookibegyou0xd6be…00c5 | Yes | 226 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 211 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.13 per $100 · 58,633+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 201 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | Yes | 188 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 185 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 176 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,278 bets |
| Anon3213213210x98ac…40d9 | Yes | 168 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 168 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| aHjCz0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | 163 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 57,792+ bets · updating |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 156 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | Yes | 150 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.08 per $100 · 21,166 bets |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 129 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 120 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 27,486 bets |
| Binotto0xdd9e…49b3 | Yes | 118 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$19.17 per $100 · 1,659 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 696 events · $32.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.