Market · 9 of 23 outcomes
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 655 events · $32.2M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| caviaro0xb36b…7804 | Yes | 179,698 | 0.1¢ | $90 | Proven+$4.76 per $100 · 867 bets |
| 0xc01b…9d82 | No | 44 | 99.8¢ | $44 | — |
| ppnt0xae2c…62ee | No | 40 | 99.8¢ | $40 | — |
| pregamee0xa88d…9830 | Yes | 75,000 | 0.1¢ | $38 | — |
| 7796868950xe14f…ad49 | No | 31 | 99.8¢ | $31 | — |
| wuwuke0xbffa…e645 | No | 25 | 99.9¢ | $25 | — |
| puipui24860x70d9…a684 | Yes | 42,695 | 2.2¢ | $21 | Positive+$28.53 per $100 · 4,038 bets |
| yanyan110xd053…65d0 | No | 16 | 99.9¢ | $16 | — |
| gopay0xb9d2…fb68 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| 64MGX75VLQ0xf4d0…4637 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 1,100 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 9,093 | 2.2¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 7,765 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,521 bets |
| jowitriviani0x8788…8aa8 | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 7,563 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,790 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 7,174 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$5.60 per $100 · 87,250 bets |
| Wolla0x1898…99ee | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 5,954 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.81 per $100 · 101,137 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 5,499 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.27 per $100 · 35,318+ bets · updating |
| Gabavenski0xb32f…bb78 | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 4,059 | 0.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 4,014 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 3,587 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | 2,337 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Girestorello0xc3b5…a720 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 2,000 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.88 per $100 · 2,562 bets |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 1,470 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.63 per $100 · 3,766 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,443 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,043 bets |
| Mustwiner0xf40f…e473 | Yes | 1,333 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| rocky420100x84d7…298f | Yes | 1,250 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x12356510x1bfb…8bea | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 3,828 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.36 per $100 · 22,813 bets |
| 0x43cd…bf40 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$10.38 per $100 · 360 bets |
| Binotto0xdd9e…49b3 | Yes | 880 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$19.17 per $100 · 1,659 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 860 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 836 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| avengers2357avengers0xf95e…ec50 | Yes | 724 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 674 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,457 bets |
| 0x90b0…cf23 | Yes | 562 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.43 per $100 · 38,405+ bets · updating |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 519 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 515 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.14 per $100 · 30,125+ bets · updating |
| thi3f0xc982…044b | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xdaf9…dba5 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe5ab…8b8d | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 496 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 476 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mymacbook0x0999…dd96 | Yes | 455 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 450 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 437 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.62 per $100 · 17,356 bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 406 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x274b…61e6 | Yes | 395 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 361 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 319 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.83 per $100 · 36,312+ bets · updating |
| PollyForge0xc540…f00d | Yes | 300 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| ontouch0x605e…8b39 | Yes | 300 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 300 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 298 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 259 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8220…92a5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9e7c…f06f | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x01d2…c603 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa996…34b5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x227b…76f9 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| influenz.eth0xe8dd…ec86 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 29,730+ bets · updating |
| lonelyfighter0x97c6…6587 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3317…76b4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Laurentdepau0x38ab…ab66 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6a07…2952 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9b4b…591c | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xaced…7eb5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9120…2fcc | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd39c…8d35 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| hklcrypt0x7449…c05e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa158…1c1b | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe36a…671d | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| pm7777770xaedd…150c | No | 0 | 99.2¢ | $0 | — |
| jeanmermier0x1e63…7267 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x72e0…0b96 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2c78…adf3 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| nullpointa0xc617…0d15 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| islam-mayeen0x0736…c924 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| AbuBaka193479750x0284…8496 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Siammia90x12f4…b88a | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| chychze0x1e71…5967 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Trungn837727490x41ec…519b | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| vunam010x43b2…4259 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| quyen940563720x4664…fd5c | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| edwardpbi990x5aed…38cd | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| GhalibKanwal0x731e…17cd | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| nguyent325632900x7744…88ba | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| shine0xe4cf…78c4 | Yes | 0 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | Yes | 0 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.