Market · 7 of 7 outcomes
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 7 outcomes add up to 98.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 13 | 99.8¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 5 | 98.1¢ | $5 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| daniadri0x04b2…e801 |
| No |
| 2 |
| 99.7¢ |
| $2 |
| — |
| kies1110xe1dd…2142 | No | 2 | 99.7¢ | $2 | — |
| mvkv0xb552…24e2 | Yes | 2,869 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| brickzflip0xe283…3263 | Yes | 2,797 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.07M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.