Market · 7 of 7 outcomes
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 13 | 99.8¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 5 | 98.1¢ | $5 | — |
| daniadri0x04b2…e801 | No | 2 | 99.7¢ | $2 | — |
| kies1110xe1dd…2142 | No | 2 | 99.7¢ | $2 | — |
| mvkv0xb552…24e2 | Yes | 2,869 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| brickzflip0xe283…3263 | Yes | 2,797 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2,049 | 14.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,927 bets |
| mit1200x71db…aba8 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | Yes | 1,862 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 1,378 | 1.3¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| huyewell0x907d…20c4 | Yes | 1,166 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$22.49 per $100 · 3,919 bets |
| Kfjdbebjdjdvwnksjfvebks0x5943…0d97 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | New11 settled bets |
| YesVolume0xa206…f666 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb92b…0a74 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 625 | 14.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 377 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| shine0xe4cf…78c4 | Yes | 365 | 16.3¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 351 | 14.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.59 per $100 · 87,486 bets |
| Crypto-Well0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | 333 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$39.17 per $100 · 1,741 bets |
| 0x0b3e328455c4059EEb9e3f84b5543F74E24e7E1w0xbcde…8dda | Yes | 307 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 301 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| kamtheman0xed1a…6c60 | Yes | 287 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 249 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 240 | 14.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,293 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 239 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 190 | 14.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 158,618 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | Yes | 122 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 100 | 14.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 30,847 bets |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x39aa…583c | Yes | 100 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 22,697 bets |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$44.40 per $100 · 11,985 bets |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 90 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 66 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,710 bets |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 62 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 55 | 14.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 3j2ei23098ui0x24ca…5829 | Yes | 50 | 2.3¢ | $0 | — |
| OmaJane0x5aec…904b | Yes | 48 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | Yes | 46 | 16.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 28,074 bets |
| NoLoyaltyToTheBosses0x0e7f…2015 | Yes | 40 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| human.bean0x39fd…849e | Yes | 30 | 39.8¢ | $0 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 25 | 14.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| hesure0xbe0e…d429 | Yes | 25 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| win-at-all-cost0x62ad…79fc | Yes | 20 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Tysha0x9be9…c030 | Yes | 15 | 16.6¢ | $0 | — |
| gazzadk19810xda59…30db | Yes | 12 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| haruk0980x77da…1d7d | Yes | 10 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 9 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 7 | 8.3¢ | $0 | New0 settled bets |
| somecode330x3188…9e6c | Yes | 7 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| animal.bean0x2a25…8055 | Yes | 5 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| egrsafvafvaer0x81ad…36a2 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Ispanez0x8ee3…923f | Yes | 5 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.08M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.