Market · 2 of 7 outcomes
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 915 | 91.4¢ | $886 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 266 | 93.7¢ | $258 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0x7577…8fb9 | Yes | 2,911 | 4.2¢ | $93 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 210 bets |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | Yes | 2,870 | 11.3¢ | $92 | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 91 | 95.0¢ | $88 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2,435 | 9.2¢ | $78 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,633 bets |
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 100 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.