Market · 2 of 7 outcomes
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 915 | 91.4¢ | $886 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,008 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 266 | 93.7¢ | $258 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,272 bets |
| 0x7577…8fb9 | Yes | 2,911 | 4.2¢ | $93 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 210 bets |
| occasionalAwareness0x8a4c…532b | Yes | 2,870 | 11.3¢ | $92 | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 2,447 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 91 | 95.0¢ | $88 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2,435 | 9.2¢ | $78 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,877 bets |
| mantisfed0x1d0c…2512 | No | 54 | 98.2¢ | $52 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 1,378 | 1.3¢ | $44 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,199 | 0.7¢ | $38 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0x4c12…62cc | Yes | 1,070 | 7.8¢ | $34 | — |
| cryptoincome0xe60f…f4b4 | No | 32 | 56.0¢ | $31 | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 999 bets |
| NellyDora0xca97…5409 | No | 30 | 94.4¢ | $29 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 1,328 bets |
| 0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50AB0x9a46…1d99 | No | 30 | 95.7¢ | $29 | — |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 744 | 4.2¢ | $24 | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| Gausslois0xb6b4…6709 | Yes | 640 | 6.5¢ | $20 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 585 | 14.3¢ | $19 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| FortunaFelix0x370c…3eb1 | Yes | 551 | 3.4¢ | $18 | — |
| Mark622218180x8033…fa1d | Yes | 538 | 8.5¢ | $17 | — |
| zhou6660x9a38…260a | Yes | 490 | 1.2¢ | $16 | — |
| Uandg0x403e…f13a | No | 16 | 97.1¢ | $15 | — |
| Ondra0x849c…4009 | Yes | 441 | 3.5¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 5,303 bets |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| 0x78f3…6517 | Yes | 400 | 10.4¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xca60…9e28 | Yes | 344 | 4.7¢ | $11 | — |
| grungus0xee1d…e61b | Yes | 333 | 13.4¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x5b91…2709 | Yes | 320 | 7.4¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 1,151 bets |
| kiohssudhhd0xd0a5…3e7f | No | 10 | 96.2¢ | $10 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 301 | 1.5¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 300 | 2.5¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| ruthereyetsir0xf39e…9f90 | Yes | 300 | 12.1¢ | $10 | — |
| kaifu0x44f2…1415 | Yes | 300 | 7.1¢ | $10 | Losing−$3.43 per $100 · 1,239 bets |
| 0x16c7…22cd | Yes | 297 | 2.6¢ | $10 | — |
| Xbvad0x42f6…658d | No | 9 | 96.9¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xb6ce…895d | No | 9 | 97.8¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| Lucindia0x3d0c…bdc8 | No | 8 | 97.9¢ | $8 | — |
| lexswitz0x460a…e696 | Yes | 200 | 13.0¢ | $6 | — |
| rhinogiraffe0x7aed…df39 | Yes | 196 | 4.2¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 4,780 bets |
| ixflow190x1ecc…7dca | Yes | 190 | 2.1¢ | $6 | — |
| itsKey0x95c2…485b | No | 5 | 97.0¢ | $5 | — |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 5 | 88.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 146 | 5.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| 0x3a2b…3874 | No | 4 | 97.1¢ | $4 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 125 | 14.3¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,129 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 4 | 73.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,648 bets |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 122 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 18,435 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 120 | 2.4¢ | $4 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 113 | 0.7¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| 0x7b64…8440 | No | 4 | 96.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 962 bets |
| cddalways0x13a1…b979 | Yes | 100 | 9.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x39aa…583c | Yes | 100 | 3.2¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 22,697 bets |
| fm140x4b91…982d | Yes | 100 | 7.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 4,018 bets |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 100 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| xingsha0xaa3b…aea3 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 100 | 7.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| R18helloworld0xce31…19c4 | No | 3 | 81.2¢ | $3 | — |
| bulbnbob0x77b5…9170 | No | 3 | 35.2¢ | $3 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 94 | 14.3¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 84 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 123,998 bets |
| Karuda710xff58…7524 | Yes | 84 | 12.0¢ | $3 | — |
| kamtheman0xed1a…6c60 | Yes | 67 | 15.0¢ | $2 | — |
| glossytrainer120x2193…987f | No | 2 | 91.3¢ | $2 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 66 | 4.6¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 62 | 8.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | No | 2 | 95.9¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 43,926 bets |
| po-ly28-test-user60x53f8…5ce0 | Yes | 57 | 3.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.20 per $100 · 536 bets |
| IrthBirth0xc092…5428 | No | 2 | 72.0¢ | $2 | — |
| zstaxpl4fpb20x92c7…89f5 | No | 2 | 98.0¢ | $2 | — |
| tritonvii0x3a8b…0c13 | Yes | 50 | 20.0¢ | $2 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 44 | 2.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| 0x43cd…fdd3 | No | 1 | 50.0¢ | $1 | — |
| prodset0x4d57…8620 | Yes | 40 | 7.1¢ | $1 | — |
| betstaker0xd3fe…2b28 | No | 1 | 97.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.29 per $100 · 542 bets |
| KreoAnon0xe9ce…711f | No | 1 | 97.0¢ | $1 | — |
| sportkingzer0x0637…1e31 | No | 1 | 92.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 1,568 bets |
| 0x78b3…6dda | No | 1 | 97.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 30 | 8.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf05f…81fa | No | 1 | 50.0¢ | $1 | — |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | Yes | 25 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| animal.bean0x2a25…8055 | Yes | 25 | 10.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 21 | 2.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,955 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 1 | 96.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,395 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 0 | 97.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| 0x1abc…45e7 | No | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | — |
| G9vQK5Gcyx0xe90f…131e | No | 0 | 96.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 94.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,027 bets |
| larrylarry10x5fdd…2132 | No | 0 | 85.0¢ | $0 | — |
| UnholyScissors0x99ba…6391 | No | 0 | 70.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.07M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.