Market · 5 of 7 outcomes
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ahourse0x303e…c54a | No | 33 | 99.8¢ | $33 | New31 settled bets |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 13 | 99.6¢ | $13 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | No | 10 | 94.5¢ | $10 | — |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 10 | 99.7¢ | $10 | — |
| GoalieBear0x52e2…1423 | No | 2 | 98.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x96aa…322a | No | 2 | 99.4¢ | $2 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 40 shares each side · Show
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Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.