Market · 8 of 10 outcomes
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 10 outcomes add up to 105.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 862 | 88.4¢ | $838 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,065 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 280 | 97.4¢ | $272 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0x2b67…b814 | Yes | 7,012 | 3.9¢ | $193 | Proven+$6.28 per $100 · 357 bets |
| Morras0x7ab8…65db | No | 150 | 75.5¢ | $146 | — |
| DerDon0xf797…0bf2 | Yes | 5,009 | 1.8¢ | $138 | Proven+$4.32 per $100 · 4,225 bets |
| BP20250x049a…b22a | Yes | 4,249 | 1.3¢ | $117 | Proven+$6.76 per $100 · 257 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 11 shares each side · Show
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Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.08M in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.