Market · 9 of 10 outcomes
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 10 outcomes add up to 103.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ladida330xf2e9…cf93 | No | 5,000 | 85.5¢ | $4.86K | — |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No | 3,044 | 96.9¢ | $2.96K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 721 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| DerDon0xf797…0bf2 |
| No |
| 2,451 |
| 96.9¢ |
| $2.38K |
| Proven+$4.32 per $100 · 4,225 bets |
| imjustalarp0x57e4…835e | No | 1,771 | 90.3¢ | $1.72K | Proven+$2.64 per $100 · 477 bets |
| 0x9eb8…3194 | No | 1,000 | 85.5¢ | $973 | — |
| mavx0x4a73…9b01 | No | 500 | 85.5¢ | $486 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 25 shares each side · Show
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Anthropic valuation & IPO · 99 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.