Market · 8 of 10 outcomes
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 10 outcomes add up to 103.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rumpelstiltskin0xfb1b…a11d | No | 1,000 | 92.9¢ | $971 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 845 | 97.0¢ | $820 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 395 |
| 92.0¢ |
| $383 |
| Proven+$4.32 per $100 · 4,225 bets |
| anonymousoctopus0x6b32…3535 | Yes | 8,131 | 7.8¢ | $240 | — |
| sety0x0a2a…6eab | No | 200 | 97.6¢ | $194 | — |
| LeopoldAschenbooger0x929a…8cf0 | Yes | 5,522 | 3.6¢ | $163 | — |
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.04M in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.