Market · 8 of 8 outcomes
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | 782 | 12.5¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 1,714 bets |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 436 | 1.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 18,435 bets |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 364 | 12.1¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 328 | 0.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 305 | 7.9¢ | $4 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 8 outcomes add up to 96.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.04M in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.