Market · 6 of 8 outcomes
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be $2.50T or more?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 96.4¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 800 | 3.4¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | 782 | 12.5¢ | $16 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 1,687 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 505 | 5.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| abba040x3d52…d44f | Yes | 497 | 20.8¢ | $10 | — |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 404 | 0.3¢ | $8 | Proven+$5.82 per $100 · 7,338 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 97 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 8 outcomes add up to 97.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.