Market · 5 of 8 outcomes
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 843 | 1.0¢ | $35 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | 782 | 12.5¢ | $32 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 1,687 bets |
| Ondra0x849c…4009 | Yes | 526 | 2.1¢ | $22 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 5,303 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 512 | 0.6¢ | $21 | Proven+$5.82 per $100 · 7,338 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 98.8¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 415 | 9.9¢ | $17 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.