Market · 5 of 8 outcomes
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 843 | 1.0¢ | $35 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | 782 | 12.5¢ | $32 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 1,687 bets |
| Ondra0x849c…4009 | Yes | 526 | 2.1¢ | $22 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 5,303 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 512 | 0.6¢ | $21 | Proven+$5.82 per $100 · 7,338 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 98.8¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 415 | 9.9¢ | $17 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| 0x2b67…b814 | Yes | 346 | 0.6¢ | $14 | Proven+$6.28 per $100 · 357 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 277 | 8.5¢ | $11 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| 0x000000000000000000000000000000000000000xbe9f…014a | No | 10 | 90.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xe85a…4d2d | Yes | 228 | 6.8¢ | $9 | — |
| ohhhyeahh0x3ccd…9336 | Yes | 225 | 2.3¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x7577…8fb9 | Yes | 212 | 0.5¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 210 bets |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 99.6¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 65 | 12.5¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 41 | 12.5¢ | $2 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 25 | 1.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 25 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 24 | 5.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| 0x4029…7639 | No | 1 | 100.5¢ | $1 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.43 per $100 · 26,254 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 9 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| soliton1370x7b18…efae | Yes | 7 | 12.5¢ | $0 | — |
| PollyForge0xc540…f00d | Yes | 5 | 13.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd7e3…8327 | Yes | 5 | 12.5¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 3 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 1 | 12.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.88 per $100 · 52,957+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Mr.Frog🐸0xb1fe…423a | Yes | 0 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 0 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 99 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.