Market · 6 of 8 outcomes
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be $2.50T or more?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 96.4¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 800 | 3.4¢ | $16 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | 782 | 12.5¢ | $16 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 1,687 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 505 | 5.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| abba040x3d52…d44f | Yes | 497 | 20.8¢ | $10 | — |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 404 | 0.3¢ | $8 | Proven+$5.82 per $100 · 7,338 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 379 | 11.9¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 301 | 2.7¢ | $6 | — |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 99.6¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| mantou110x54db…0174 | Yes | 209 | 1.2¢ | $4 | — |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.0x843c…0734 | Yes | 150 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| ohhhyeahh0x3ccd…9336 | Yes | 145 | 7.7¢ | $3 | — |
| PrimePenguin0x933c…a8c6 | Yes | 130 | 4.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x248d…1084 | Yes | 121 | 4.3¢ | $2 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 100 | 1.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| CorArm9990x73be…66ea | Yes | 21 | 19.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x827d…c558 | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.43 per $100 · 26,254 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 10 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 9 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 6 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| PollyForge0xc540…f00d | Yes | 5 | 13.5¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 0 | 98.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 54.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| 0x1ef0…e28e | No | 0 | 96.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 1 | 12.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.88 per $100 · 52,957+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | Yes | 1 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 8.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 99 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.