Market · 8 of 8 outcomes
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | 782 | 12.5¢ | $12 | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 1,714 bets |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 436 | 1.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 18,435 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 364 | 12.1¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,693+ bets · updating |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 328 | 0.2¢ | $5 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 305 | 7.9¢ | $5 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| 0x2b67…b814 | Yes | 285 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$6.28 per $100 · 357 bets |
| Ondra0x849c…4009 | Yes | 249 | 1.5¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 5,303 bets |
| 0x7577…8fb9 | Yes | 249 | 0.3¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 210 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 200 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 192 | 12.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,343 bets |
| 0x000000000000000000000000000000000000000xbe9f…014a | Yes | 189 | 8.0¢ | $3 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 167 | 1.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 150 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
| SpyVsSpy0x1137…4ed5 | Yes | 136 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 1,490 bets |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 84 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| breeze550x52ce…1da9 | Yes | 81 | 1.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.36 per $100 · 266 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 80 | 1.4¢ | $1 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 65 | 12.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 0x3e3c…e1d6 | Yes | 55 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 48 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 41 | 12.5¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 27 | 12.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,731 bets |
| 0x827d…c558 | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 10 | 12.5¢ | $0 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| PollyForge0xc540…f00d | Yes | 5 | 13.5¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 3 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.07M in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.