Market · 6 of 16 outcomes
Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 30 | 99.3¢ | $30 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 1,333 | 1.1¢ | $21 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,284 | 3.1¢ | $20 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,047 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.6¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,710 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 1,220 | 0.2¢ | $19 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 7,346 bets |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | Yes | 1,008 | 2.0¢ | $16 | Proven+$3.17 per $100 · 563 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
4 more outcomes in this event.
These 16 outcomes add up to 101.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 102 events · $6.08M in play
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.