Market · 1 of 16 outcomes
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
11 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DancewithRisk0xb0fc…ce0b | Yes | 4,899 | 49.8¢ | $2.69K | — |
| 0x39aa…583c | No | 5,530 | 36.0¢ | $2.49K | Break-even+$0.70 per $100 · 22,696 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 2,013 |
| 59.9¢ |
| $1.11K |
| Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,633 bets |
| jyPoz0x6cf9…cffd | Yes | 1,756 | 62.9¢ | $966 | Proven+$2.78 per $100 · 195 bets |
| flovertaco0xa2e0…fd91 | No | 2,127 | 62.4¢ | $957 | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 273 bets |
| marthi0x6615…196b | Yes | 1,616 | 61.7¢ | $889 | — |
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 100 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
4 more outcomes in this event.
These 16 outcomes add up to 98.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.