Market · 1 of 16 outcomes
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
12 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DancewithRisk0xb0fc…ce0b | Yes | 4,899 | 49.8¢ | $2.63K | — |
| 0x39aa…583c | No | 5,530 | 36.0¢ | $2.56K | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 22,697 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2,013 | 59.9¢ | $1.08K | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,731 bets |
| flovertaco0xa2e0…fd91 | No | 2,127 | 62.4¢ | $985 | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 273 bets |
| jyPoz0x6cf9…cffd | Yes | 1,756 | 62.9¢ | $943 | Proven+$2.78 per $100 · 195 bets |
| marthi0x6615…196b | Yes | 1,616 | 61.7¢ | $868 | — |
| gambler9250x76db…6987 | No | 1,618 | 38.6¢ | $749 | — |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | Yes | 1,325 | 48.0¢ | $712 | Proven+$3.17 per $100 · 563 bets |
| peterfromfamilyguy0x9352…2227 | Yes | 1,012 | 46.6¢ | $543 | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 699 bets |
| Kutoba0x40b5…6b5f | Yes | 905 | 66.7¢ | $486 | Break-even−$0.59 per $100 · 606 bets |
| plyzjjct0xdb59…e178 | Yes | 606 | 28.4¢ | $325 | — |
| Quarzo0x88ee…c234 | Yes | 588 | 59.7¢ | $316 | — |
| hfv0xe102…71df | Yes | 557 | 62.7¢ | $299 | — |
| Afuckingbot0x752e…b1b3 | Yes | 536 | 19.3¢ | $288 | Positive+$3.02 per $100 · 154 bets |
| Hakei.0x97ea…3363 | Yes | 486 | 7.0¢ | $261 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 2,040 bets |
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | No | 560 | 33.6¢ | $259 | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,750 bets |
| Dragontree0x2c39…56dc | Yes | 420 | 4.8¢ | $225 | Proven+$2.69 per $100 · 3,239 bets |
| nellojello0xa8ae…8eb7 | Yes | 415 | 65.9¢ | $223 | Proven+$10.19 per $100 · 305 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 408 | 5.9¢ | $219 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,480 bets |
| lexdpc0x310e…5050 | Yes | 246 | 25.2¢ | $132 | — |
| breakingcute0x7dff…1f35 | Yes | 234 | 24.1¢ | $126 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 636 bets |
| omsode0x82bd…335e | No | 271 | 42.1¢ | $125 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 146 bets |
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | No | 267 | 40.2¢ | $124 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 2,426 bets |
| KimchiCapital0x9578…f066 | Yes | 200 | 0.6¢ | $107 | — |
| road21000xb2ed…2a85 | Yes | 200 | 59.1¢ | $107 | — |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | Yes | 200 | 57.8¢ | $107 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| 0x62ea…2695 | Yes | 193 | 52.7¢ | $104 | — |
| rplc-ftbl0xac4c…2200 | No | 190 | 42.9¢ | $88 | — |
| rouxshan0x8db5…3c8b | No | 165 | 42.3¢ | $76 | — |
| dontshowmyname0x0c97…1b68 | Yes | 130 | 0.2¢ | $70 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 1,857 bets |
| tomczykmarm0x8b7d…a994 | Yes | 124 | 4.2¢ | $67 | — |
| 0x40fe…3bfd | Yes | 120 | 68.3¢ | $64 | — |
| kk222310x53fb…e92a | Yes | 120 | 25.8¢ | $64 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 1,355 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 110 | 64.5¢ | $59 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 124 | 38.6¢ | $57 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,058 bets |
| Jgddb0xe837…8eca | Yes | 99 | 58.9¢ | $53 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 109 | 41.0¢ | $51 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 90 | 67.3¢ | $48 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| gydmasg0xc456…8996 | No | 100 | 31.8¢ | $46 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 85 | 9.0¢ | $46 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| 0x6288…fd46 | No | 93 | 43.1¢ | $43 | Proven+$2.01 per $100 · 4,859 bets |
| stevensu7770x3d6d…bb6b | Yes | 80 | 69.0¢ | $43 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 90 | 40.0¢ | $42 | — |
| whskrz0x1c40…445c | Yes | 73 | 56.0¢ | $39 | — |
| agentslaughter0x8d65…da6e | Yes | 59 | 52.1¢ | $32 | — |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 50 | 63.1¢ | $27 | — |
| Wrajitoru1850xdc6d…10fa | Yes | 50 | 60.0¢ | $27 | Proven+$9.12 per $100 · 1,128 bets |
| CumbiaMaster0xf3f6…1f44 | Yes | 50 | 10.4¢ | $27 | — |
| UUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU0x84a7…9743 | Yes | 48 | 43.6¢ | $26 | Losing−$14.08 per $100 · 246 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 45 | 65.5¢ | $24 | Losing−$7.52 per $100 · 293,648+ bets · updating |
| 0x86b6…a127 | No | 46 | 43.1¢ | $21 | Losing−$6.00 per $100 · 1,702 bets |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No | 45 | 31.4¢ | $21 | — |
| foreveraclone0x9425…63f2 | Yes | 37 | 28.1¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x2532…62ea | Yes | 34 | 60.0¢ | $18 | New11 settled bets |
| Ruffyyy0x2b72…1456 | Yes | 31 | 65.5¢ | $17 | — |
| juanraciti0xda97…d412 | No | 32 | 31.7¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xbeef…620e | No | 32 | 32.3¢ | $15 | — |
| Penooooo0x615f…5f37 | No | 30 | 36.0¢ | $14 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 30 | 23.2¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 26 | 63.0¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| BBBBBB8860xd2ca…fc0d | Yes | 22 | 55.9¢ | $12 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 92.3¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,988 bets |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | Yes | 10 | 66.3¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,368 bets |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | Yes | 10 | 66.6¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 4,881 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $5 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| mikecoin10x34b0…d620 | Yes | 10 | 56.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$5.87 per $100 · 253 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | Yes | 10 | 68.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.63 per $100 · 3,025 bets |
| HighBetaBro0xb309…d14b | Yes | 10 | 66.0¢ | $5 | — |
| JustThink0x3958…938f | No | 11 | 46.0¢ | $5 | New67 settled bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 9 | 56.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 28.2¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 3,507 bets |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 10 | 28.2¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 3,502 bets |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | No | 10 | 35.2¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | No | 10 | 40.3¢ | $5 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | No | 10 | 40.3¢ | $5 | — |
| Antioquia0xfad2…df61 | Yes | 9 | 59.6¢ | $5 | — |
| Marijas0xdb05…89b1 | No | 9 | 34.2¢ | $4 | — |
| ilovecarrots0x03e1…e180 | No | 9 | 44.7¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 2,068 bets |
| sm-020x7a55…9e6b | No | 6 | 35.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xa169…1b73 | No | 5 | 43.7¢ | $2 | — |
| DontBeScared50xdf3b…880a | Yes | 4 | 63.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xfa01…800a | No | 5 | 82.7¢ | $2 | — |
| louj750180x480f…7c91 | No | 5 | 43.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.01 per $100 · 456 bets |
| 0x9de6…e7f0 | Yes | 3 | 67.7¢ | $2 | — |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | 4 | 35.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 1,838 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | No | 3 | 38.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| ffffffaq0xb555…05a0 | No | 2 | 42.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xbafd…4898 | No | 1 | 75.4¢ | $1 | — |
| V4Mb7vN6JDACV10xceb4…f81a | No | 1 | 75.3¢ | $1 | — |
| smm.ls0x8312…b7f7 | No | 1 | 92.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 1 | 82.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | 1 | 25.3¢ | $0 | — |
| uniloktij0xf13f…31cb | No | 0 | 34.1¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 0 | 79.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| tomkat070x5695…002b | No | 0 | 32.9¢ | $0 | — |
| leantiger0xa1b1…6a83 | No | 0 | 36.1¢ | $0 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 0 | 43.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.07M in play
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.