Market · 6 of 16 outcomes
Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 30 | 99.3¢ | $30 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 1,333 | 1.1¢ | $21 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,284 | 3.1¢ | $20 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,135 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.6¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,833+ bets · updating |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 1,220 | 0.2¢ | $19 | Proven+$5.91 per $100 · 7,365 bets |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | Yes | 1,008 | 2.0¢ | $16 | Proven+$3.17 per $100 · 563 bets |
| dontshowmyname0x0c97…1b68 | Yes | 815 | 0.4¢ | $13 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 1,857 bets |
| BBBBBB8860xd2ca…fc0d | Yes | 675 | 1.3¢ | $10 | — |
| 7866850x5ab6…51e8 | No | 10 | 99.0¢ | $10 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 488 | 1.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 410 | 1.4¢ | $6 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 99.4¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 226 | 3.9¢ | $4 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 217 | 1.0¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| prodigalmelon330x90bb…1cb9 | Yes | 214 | 1.5¢ | $3 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 201 | 5.9¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,318 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 200 | 5.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,932 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 150 | 1.6¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 123 | 5.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 102 | 2.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,075 bets |
| Teverria0x618b…d33f | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xbeef…620e | Yes | 68 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xbafd…4898 | No | 1 | 99.3¢ | $1 | — |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 48 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 46 | 2.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | No | 1 | 99.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfa01…800a | No | 0 | 90.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Folletin0x08c8…1da2 | Yes | 23 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$5.44 per $100 · 712 bets |
| congmqian-gendan0x9e16…7a42 | Yes | 19 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3cce…a405 | Yes | 12 | 8.8¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 5 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 0 | 98.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 2,412 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| beatrix990xdb24…496b | Yes | 0 | 5.9¢ | $0 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 0 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 104 events · $6.09M in play
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.