Market · 1 of 20 outcomes
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 979 | 16.4¢ | $401 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 211 | 95.0¢ | $124 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,964 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 179 | 62.3¢ | $106 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| NoTeacher0xcb48…be6d | Yes | 256 | 46.1¢ | $105 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 212 | 37.6¢ | $87 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| bleed10xa27f…0ce8 | Yes | 180 | 28.5¢ | $74 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 20 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 99 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
8 more outcomes in this event.
These 20 outcomes add up to 103.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.