Market · 1 of 20 outcomes
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 979 | 16.4¢ | $401 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 318 | 60.8¢ | $188 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 211 | 95.0¢ | $124 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,978 bets |
| NoTeacher0xcb48…be6d | Yes | 256 | 46.1¢ | $105 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 212 | 37.6¢ | $87 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| bleed10xa27f…0ce8 | Yes | 180 | 28.5¢ | $74 | — |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | No | 100 | 90.0¢ | $59 | — |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | No | 71 | 59.3¢ | $42 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 80 | 50.0¢ | $33 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| pykue0xa45f…d6cb | No | 43 | 82.6¢ | $25 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 65.9¢ | $24 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,024 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 57 | 33.0¢ | $23 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| TruthSignalFramework0x7e64…c43e | Yes | 55 | 29.8¢ | $23 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 37 | 62.0¢ | $22 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| 0x3752…9d56 | Yes | 50 | 50.0¢ | $21 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 1,133 bets |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | No | 27 | 82.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 5,428 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 20 | 83.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 14,006 bets |
| hfv0xe102…71df | Yes | 27 | 42.0¢ | $11 | — |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | Yes | 24 | 42.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | 20 | 49.0¢ | $8 | — |
| beatrix990xdb24…496b | No | 10 | 84.0¢ | $6 | — |
| marshrobert0xb7b0…832d | No | 9 | 73.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xd819…2d80 | No | 6 | 69.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | No | 5 | 75.8¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 4,466 bets |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 5 | 37.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 3,362 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 5 | 2.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 3 | 76.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| yo20000x6417…8279 | Yes | 3 | 41.2¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 1 | 59.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| Nostdam0xe732…898f | Yes | 1 | 10.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | No | 1 | 60.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 1 | 82.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 1 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 0 | 75.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | Yes | 0 | 11.6¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420010x5028…91c5 | Yes | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 12,183 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 47.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 10,287 bets |
| mini-cF0xb714…18c9 | Yes | 0 | 25.0¢ | $0 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 0 | 62.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | No | 0 | 93.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.75 per $100 · 67,936+ bets · updating |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 0 | 64.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| 0x6b08…a59a | No | 0 | 70.0¢ | $0 | — |
| gavinfunda0xb924…0803 | No | 0 | 82.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 20 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 108 events · $6.11M in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.