Market · 3 of 20 outcomes
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | No | 361 | 53.4¢ | $332 | — |
| SingletonFamilyFund0x4c4e…297b | No | 361 | 77.9¢ | $331 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 145 | 70.7¢ | $133 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 1,368 | 12.8¢ | $112 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| johnthek0xd925…f36f | No | 51 | 55.7¢ | $47 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 50 | 85.0¢ | $45 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
8 more outcomes in this event.
These 20 outcomes add up to 102.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.