Market · 3 of 20 outcomes
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | No | 361 | 53.4¢ | $332 | — |
| SingletonFamilyFund0x4c4e…297b | No | 361 | 77.9¢ | $332 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 145 | 70.7¢ | $133 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 1,368 | 12.8¢ | $109 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| johnthek0xd925…f36f | No | 51 | 55.7¢ | $47 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 50 | 85.0¢ | $46 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| lakatosnapoleon0x7957…ddbc | No | 49 | 89.4¢ | $45 | Positive+$1.27 per $100 · 824 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 77.8¢ | $37 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,721 bets |
| sanlitou2026p10x7a8e…89d8 | No | 22 | 92.2¢ | $20 | — |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 241 | 11.1¢ | $19 | — |
| d5fg2df4g0x0657…2b79 | No | 20 | 87.0¢ | $18 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 13 | 83.4¢ | $12 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,333 bets |
| 0xd819…2d80 | No | 10 | 63.9¢ | $9 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 94 | 4.7¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.60 per $100 · 123,566 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 88 | 2.9¢ | $7 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,713 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 74 | 26.9¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 5 | 93.3¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 789 bets |
| 0x45e6…8fca | No | 5 | 55.3¢ | $5 | — |
| JAMJAMJAM40xe8c4…395d | Yes | 57 | 11.3¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 7,027 bets |
| 0x3752…9d56 | Yes | 50 | 50.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 1,133 bets |
| Sui0070xce62…cee0 | Yes | 42 | 12.2¢ | $3 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 35 | 11.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Bodytobody0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | 32 | 46.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 30 | 47.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.33 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | 30 | 36.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Welcome20260x1073…d8ba | No | 2 | 55.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | 20 | 6.2¢ | $2 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 2 | 60.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | Yes | 17 | 8.1¢ | $1 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 1 | 87.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| smm.ls0x8312…b7f7 | No | 1 | 89.4¢ | $1 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 8 | 13.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 5 | 2.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 0 | 53.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 0 | 8.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| rewardsbot0x5907…a780 | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| martinclaro0xa8ab…21ba | Yes | 0 | 45.1¢ | $0 | — |
| kg555gk0x8873…852a | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.