Market · 6 of 20 outcomes
Will Z.ai be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 99.7¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,223 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 491 | 1.1¢ | $15 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 152 | 2.8¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 124,099+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 88 | 2.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,902 bets |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.0x843c…0734 | Yes | 85 | 0.5¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x3752…9d56 | Yes | 50 | 50.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 1,133 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
8 more outcomes in this event.
These 20 outcomes add up to 106.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.