Market · 6 of 20 outcomes
Will Z.ai be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 99.7¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,293 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 491 | 1.1¢ | $14 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 152 | 2.8¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.56 per $100 · 124,139 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 88 | 2.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,927 bets |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.0x843c…0734 | Yes | 85 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x3752…9d56 | Yes | 50 | 50.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 1,133 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 45 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 40 | 6.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 36 | 5.8¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 30 | 6.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 24 | 12.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 22 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| lightsout9120x7e1d…4d41 | Yes | 10 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| crn10x41b7…4ff3 | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 5 | 2.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 4 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 0 | 82.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.