Market · 6 of 20 outcomes
Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| qianyi20260x1cf1…6ca1 | No | 82 | 95.9¢ | $80 | — |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | No | 50 | 87.2¢ | $49 | — |
| lakatosnapoleon0x7957…ddbc | No | 40 | 97.5¢ | $39 | Positive+$1.27 per $100 · 824 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 97.6¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,406 bets |
| dgfd760x191e…ef6b | No | 18 | 89.9¢ | $17 | — |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 455 | 6.5¢ | $10 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
8 more outcomes in this event.
These 20 outcomes add up to 103.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.