Market · 4 of 20 outcomes
Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| qianyi20260x1cf1…6ca1 | No | 82 | 95.9¢ | $78 | — |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | No | 50 | 87.2¢ | $47 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 97.6¢ | $38 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,500 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 455 | 6.5¢ | $23 | — |
| dgfd760x191e…ef6b | No | 18 | 89.9¢ | $17 | — |
| lakatosnapoleon0x7957…ddbc | No | 15 | 97.5¢ | $14 | Positive+$1.27 per $100 · 824 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 202 | 3.7¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,298 bets |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | Yes | 100 | 11.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 5 | 95.2¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 789 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 5 | 91.0¢ | $5 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 91 | 2.4¢ | $5 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 88 | 2.9¢ | $4 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,980 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 82 | 10.4¢ | $4 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 55 | 7.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| 0x3752…9d56 | Yes | 50 | 50.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 1,133 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 40 | 7.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| 80sdfs0xfaa2…36bb | Yes | 38 | 8.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | No | 2 | 89.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,344 bets |
| Welcome20260x1073…d8ba | No | 1 | 89.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | 21 | 10.7¢ | $1 | — |
| boempie0xb678…299e | Yes | 20 | 13.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 10 | 8.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | 6 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$15.49 per $100 · 4,509 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 5 | 2.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 0 | 97.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 3 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| chohakune0x13da…40b8 | Yes | 2 | 49.0¢ | $0 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 2 | 3.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 93.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 8.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Escumish0x1924…dff3 | Yes | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.93 per $100 · 3,274 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.