Market · 3 of 7 outcomes
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| itsjustcheddar0x2a31…f2f0 | No | 50 | 96.9¢ | $50 | Break-even−$0.03 per $100 · 20,323 bets |
| literroom0xba7c…bdcc | No | 7 | 96.8¢ | $7 | — |
| Minitest0xf9c3…3d81 | No | 5 | 96.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 9,833 | 3.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 636 bets |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | No | 4 | 97.4¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 6,755 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,395 bets |
| 0x8b8b…2512 | Yes | 6,005 | 3.4¢ | $3 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 5,790 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 158,406+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 5,110 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,648 bets |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,624 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 4,879 | 3.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.66 per $100 · 14,733 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 3,606 | 3.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,120 bets |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 3,297 | 3.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$9.70 per $100 · 17,596 bets |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 3,089 | 3.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.18 per $100 · 20,625 bets |
| VerilyWinningly0x6276…9db5 | Yes | 2,598 | 3.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$27.82 per $100 · 1,250 bets |
| 0xwhaleshark0x2179…bedb | Yes | 2,495 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$26.70 per $100 · 964 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 2,278 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.71 per $100 · 57,293+ bets · updating |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 1,700 | 0.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 1,370 | 1.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 1,088 | 3.4¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| asmile0xe8a0…4e39 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| SmallBudda0xebcd…23b7 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 719 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| SPLPB0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | 704 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.91 per $100 · 5,696 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 673 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | Yes | 648 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 50,296 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 643 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,129 bets |
| Mantingh0x5b01…a8ca | Yes | 560 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 556 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.63 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| tamalaile0x1e69…e777 | Yes | 491 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| mehanizator0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | 453 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.84 per $100 · 8,686 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 442 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 400 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 371 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 364 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 352 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 324 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,289 bets |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 320 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 310 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 300 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 300 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 269 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.02 per $100 · 11,252 bets |
| 0x6f0b…391d | Yes | 264 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 252 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,877 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 250 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 229 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 211 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.13 per $100 · 58,633+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 201 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 123,998 bets |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | Yes | 200 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 198 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| moml0x8fc7…2193 | Yes | 165 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 156 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | Yes | 150 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.08 per $100 · 21,166 bets |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 138 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| asdf233r20xcf16…01cb | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| NoLoyaltyToTheBosses0x0e7f…2015 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 0 | 96.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| estIpsum0xc87d…ea0e | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 9 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,027 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 716 events · $33.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 7 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.