Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DirkDiggler670xaab9…a08d | Yes | 5,265 | 34.0¢ | $2.92K | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| boomboomfan0x19f6…68a9 | Yes | 1,000 | 63.0¢ | $555 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 682 | 70.0¢ | $304 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,872 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 420 | 43.0¢ | $187 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,903 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 240 | 62.0¢ | $133 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 126,571+ bets · updating |
| Basque0xfb26…06f7 | Yes | 200 | 61.0¢ | $111 | New55 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 3 outcomes add up to 96.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.