Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PropheticFire0xf566…1386 | Yes | 3,100 | 45.1¢ | $1.1K | New68 settled bets |
| yoyoyo5430xbbd2…9b1a | Yes | 1,000 | 49.0¢ | $355 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| moneymakingmachine0x420e…e3c9 |
| Yes |
| 513 |
| 37.2¢ |
| $182 |
| Losing−$3.29 per $100 · 1,690 bets |
| DirkDiggler670xaab9…a08d | No | 237 | 45.0¢ | $153 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 334 | 33.3¢ | $118 | Positive+$2.90 per $100 · 12,452 bets |
| Calimer00x5b72…bedd | Yes | 293 | 39.5¢ | $104 | — |
These 3 outcomes add up to 96.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.