Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PropheticFire0xf566…1386 | Yes | 3,100 | 45.1¢ | $1.18K | New68 settled bets |
| yoyoyo5430xbbd2…9b1a | Yes | 1,000 | 49.0¢ | $380 | — |
| moneymakingmachine0x420e…e3c9 | Yes | 968 | 37.1¢ | $368 | Losing−$3.29 per $100 · 1,690 bets |
| DirkDiggler670xaab9…a08d | No | 237 | 45.0¢ | $147 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 334 | 33.3¢ | $127 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,456 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 200 | 62.0¢ | $124 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| Calimer00x5b72…bedd | Yes | 293 | 39.5¢ | $111 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 160 | 49.0¢ | $99 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 200 | 39.7¢ | $76 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| hfv0xe102…71df | Yes | 198 | 48.0¢ | $75 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 100 | 62.5¢ | $62 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 120 | 49.0¢ | $46 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 73 | 62.0¢ | $45 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 73 | 63.9¢ | $45 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | 116 | 34.5¢ | $44 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 4,115 bets |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | Yes | 100 | 49.0¢ | $38 | — |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | Yes | 100 | 38.9¢ | $38 | Losing−$5.68 per $100 · 1,488 bets |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 50 | 64.0¢ | $31 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 50 | 64.0¢ | $31 | — |
| ilovecarrots0x03e1…e180 | No | 50 | 64.0¢ | $31 | Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 2,068 bets |
| cloverpmq20xbb10…523d | No | 40 | 61.0¢ | $25 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 50 | 49.0¢ | $19 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 48 | 55.0¢ | $18 | — |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | 21 | 77.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 12,688 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 20 | 53.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0xd10a…b9cd | No | 13 | 64.0¢ | $8 | — |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 20 | 35.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | No | 10 | 54.0¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 7,608 bets |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | No | 10 | 53.0¢ | $6 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 15 | 30.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| bertross0x5fa5…b7a7 | Yes | 15 | 35.9¢ | $6 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 15 | 46.3¢ | $6 | — |
| sb8963450x77b8…e849 | No | 7 | 69.9¢ | $4 | — |
| TheQrunch0xab3b…76f6 | Yes | 11 | 35.9¢ | $4 | — |
| antrax-crusader0xb476…2d87 | Yes | 8 | 53.0¢ | $3 | — |
| eatLi0xf7ec…e53a | No | 5 | 77.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xff12…cdc4 | Yes | 5 | 34.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.81 per $100 · 651 bets |
| PavelIslimnitsky0xb01e…9221 | Yes | 3 | 36.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8b8b…2512 | No | 1 | 40.4¢ | $1 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | No | 1 | 14.0¢ | $1 | — |
| fixedincome0xb904…00dd | Yes | 2 | 66.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3d03…9d52 | Yes | 1 | 36.1¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,098 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 1 | 33.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.60 per $100 · 87,250 bets |
| cmnd7w0xa39d…511b | No | 1 | 63.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc24f…220b | Yes | 1 | 38.9¢ | $0 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 1 | 48.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 0 | 57.0¢ | $0 | — |
| god837438940xe040…824f | No | 0 | 66.9¢ | $0 | — |
| beatrix990xdb24…496b | Yes | 0 | 21.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 61.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 52.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,521 bets |
| hitunfar0xb980…73b0 | No | 0 | 65.9¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 0 | 43.0¢ | $0 | — |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 0 | 23.7¢ | $0 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,797 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.