Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 420 | 98.4¢ | $398 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,087 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | No | 377 | 87.1¢ | $358 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,456 bets |
| Viserys0xf903…e028 | Yes | 4,020 | 3.1¢ | $207 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 984 | 3.7¢ | $51 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| rousseauuu0x47c1…825f | Yes | 899 | 1.6¢ | $46 | — |
| hfv0xe102…71df | Yes | 150 | 23.5¢ | $8 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 3 outcomes add up to 96.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.