Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 420 | 98.4¢ | $397 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,396 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | No | 377 | 87.1¢ | $356 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| Viserys0xf903…e028 | Yes | 4,020 | 3.1¢ | $221 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 984 | 3.7¢ | $54 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| rousseauuu0x47c1…825f | Yes | 899 | 1.6¢ | $49 | Positive+$16.32 per $100 · 485 bets |
| hfv0xe102…71df | Yes | 150 | 23.5¢ | $8 | — |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | Yes | 100 | 1.8¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.17 per $100 · 13,909 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 72 | 26.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| tinyyyyy10x8467…d3ed | Yes | 50 | 23.6¢ | $3 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 30 | 2.0¢ | $2 | — |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | 21 | 50.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 12,688 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 20 | 1.8¢ | $1 | — |
| yallmate0xf50e…f125 | No | 1 | 98.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 18 | 3.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 15 | 8.4¢ | $1 | — |
| trader-19fc206e0x19fc…1a12 | Yes | 12 | 5.6¢ | $1 | — |
| antrax-crusader0xb476…2d87 | Yes | 8 | 14.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8b8b…2512 | No | 0 | 98.0¢ | $0 | — |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | No | 0 | 98.5¢ | $0 | — |
| skyrocks0xa3cf…1a67 | No | 0 | 98.3¢ | $0 | — |
| beatrix990xdb24…496b | Yes | 0 | 27.6¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 98.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,224 bets |
| 0xe8c6…f7f6 | No | 0 | 98.5¢ | $0 | — |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 0 | 33.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.