Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DirkDiggler670xaab9…a08d | Yes | 5,265 | 34.0¢ | $2.92K | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| boomboomfan0x19f6…68a9 | Yes | 1,000 | 63.0¢ | $555 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 682 | 70.0¢ | $304 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,985 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 420 | 43.0¢ | $187 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,027 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 240 | 62.0¢ | $133 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,453 bets |
| Basque0xfb26…06f7 | Yes | 200 | 61.0¢ | $111 | New55 settled bets |
| MrMelonHead0x9f66…3a50 | Yes | 165 | 61.6¢ | $92 | — |
| hfv0xe102…71df | No | 150 | 71.0¢ | $67 | — |
| john-blue0xd691…fcc6 | Yes | 107 | 60.0¢ | $60 | — |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | No | 100 | 40.0¢ | $45 | Losing−$5.68 per $100 · 1,488 bets |
| beyond00xb139…0ba0 | No | 100 | 71.0¢ | $45 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 90 | 40.0¢ | $40 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| Fishcup0xd031…f613 | Yes | 69 | 36.4¢ | $39 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 50 | 62.0¢ | $28 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 50 | 59.0¢ | $28 | — |
| 0x00cd…c0ae | No | 50 | 71.0¢ | $22 | — |
| 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | 50 | 71.0¢ | $22 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 40 | 49.1¢ | $22 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| sharingan-kakashi0x1c70…4c51 | Yes | 33 | 51.0¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5 | Yes | 25 | 61.7¢ | $14 | — |
| BreakEven0x5838…367c | Yes | 20 | 66.9¢ | $11 | — |
| Gulgaio0x973e…37dc | No | 24 | 43.0¢ | $11 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 22 | 65.3¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| ZhouCD0xa89c…1410 | Yes | 17 | 31.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$8.33 per $100 · 815 bets |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 15 | 38.6¢ | $8 | — |
| eduardo860x3343…5d63 | Yes | 8 | 61.0¢ | $5 | — |
| antrax-crusader0xb476…2d87 | Yes | 8 | 27.8¢ | $4 | — |
| gendan120x4a90…c7c5 | No | 9 | 54.0¢ | $4 | — |
| l3t00xd14a…a8ad | Yes | 5 | 55.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$6.10 per $100 · 109 bets |
| polymark0xbfe6…16f6 | No | 6 | 73.8¢ | $3 | — |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | 6 | 71.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 12,688 bets |
| 0xfa01…800a | No | 5 | 46.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 1 | 23.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| 0xe8c6…f7f6 | No | 1 | 36.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 1 | 64.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 0 | 38.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 45.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.12 per $100 · 9,353 bets |
| 0x8b8b…2512 | No | 0 | 80.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mangostein0x544f…4cb9 | No | 0 | 70.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | No | 0 | 61.0¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 70.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.