Market · 1 of 20 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 06:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $890K in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 9,279 | 4.1¢ | $2.09K | Losing−$1.11 per $100 · 2,223 bets |
| Elonurmom0x0f7f…6450 | Yes | 5,405 | 3.9¢ | $1.22K | — |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $1.13K | — |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $1.13K | — |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 4,000 | 2.0¢ | $900 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 4,037 bets |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 3,950 | 4.0¢ | $889 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 2,679 | 3.8¢ | $603 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 2,650 | 6.3¢ | $596 | Losing−$6.67 per $100 · 2,990 bets |
| LuckyMANNN0x59a1…a8d1 | Yes | 2,429 | 4.8¢ | $547 | — |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 2,000 | 2.5¢ | $450 | — |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 2,000 | 2.0¢ | $450 | — |
| plymbus0xbbb3…037d | Yes | 1,516 | 18.5¢ | $341 | — |
| hirichzhou0x71f7…2e2e | Yes | 1,502 | 4.0¢ | $338 | — |
| juanbenquet0xf41c…43a6 | Yes | 1,303 | 14.1¢ | $293 | — |
| BernandoNaty0xfab3…dee0 | No | 300 | 88.5¢ | $233 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 1,000 | 3.9¢ | $225 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 3,268 bets |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 1,000 | 2.0¢ | $225 | — |
| ellio89890xaca2…b9a1 | Yes | 846 | 20.2¢ | $190 | — |
| tradethemarket0xb7e0…2c57 | No | 245 | 82.4¢ | $190 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | No | 233 | 80.0¢ | $181 | — |
| AM96910xc959…c37f | Yes | 769 | 13.6¢ | $173 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 518 | 5.8¢ | $117 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| niceShare0x97ff…d095 | No | 150 | 80.0¢ | $116 | — |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 514 | 9.9¢ | $116 | — |
| TP19950xc575…38fd | Yes | 500 | 4.0¢ | $113 | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 139 | 78.7¢ | $108 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 6,866 bets |
| sfdf780x736c…a3c9 | Yes | 455 | 11.5¢ | $102 | — |
| ProsperIntelligence0x514b…6931 | Yes | 430 | 17.0¢ | $97 | — |
| Rizh0x9255…6e3b | Yes | 400 | 18.4¢ | $90 | — |
| LazyWanker0xbac4…1ab2 | Yes | 389 | 16.6¢ | $88 | — |
| belsand20x8845…360e | No | 100 | 81.0¢ | $78 | — |
| PiThree140xbb36…0d51 | Yes | 334 | 19.8¢ | $75 | — |
| 1000Usdt0x47e4…28b8 | Yes | 307 | 19.3¢ | $69 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 302 | 19.7¢ | $68 | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,170 bets |
| 11110x280f…1963 | Yes | 300 | 2.0¢ | $68 | — |
| Fablurou0x3256…830c | Yes | 300 | 14.0¢ | $68 | — |
| TaigerTeam0xd928…23ca | Yes | 300 | 11.5¢ | $68 | — |
| Melook0xeabe…d6ed | Yes | 300 | 15.0¢ | $68 | — |
| saragus0xf4d5…66e1 | Yes | 280 | 13.9¢ | $63 | — |
| jooker20260x276a…d445 | No | 70 | 92.2¢ | $54 | — |
| Badekarret0xe343…23fd | Yes | 233 | 21.8¢ | $52 | — |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | 211 | 16.0¢ | $48 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 1,838 bets |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 207 | 3.8¢ | $46 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bd | Yes | 200 | 8.0¢ | $45 | — |
| 0x9901…5815 | Yes | 200 | 13.6¢ | $45 | — |
| Melao0x48a3…bfec | Yes | 197 | 7.0¢ | $44 | — |
| 0xcd0f…2154 | No | 54 | 81.3¢ | $42 | — |
| XXHXX0xe372…72ec | Yes | 179 | 17.1¢ | $40 | — |
| akhk12450xca60…310d | Yes | 170 | 2.0¢ | $38 | — |
| gordontradedc0x04a2…e16c | No | 47 | 78.9¢ | $36 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 46 | 81.0¢ | $36 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| Ronke0xb603…58fe | Yes | 153 | 20.5¢ | $34 | — |
| IronByte0x9484…a173 | Yes | 150 | 13.6¢ | $34 | — |
| number250x0660…0ea7 | No | 43 | 87.3¢ | $33 | — |
| MarsBABY0xeb6d…2294 | Yes | 149 | 14.6¢ | $33 | — |
| rockat0x699b…0296 | Yes | 140 | 14.1¢ | $32 | — |
| gozel120x43d7…c453 | Yes | 122 | 17.7¢ | $27 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 120 | 6.2¢ | $27 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| IgorBabich0x78e7…47da | No | 33 | 81.0¢ | $26 | — |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $23 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 100 | 3.8¢ | $22 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 8,509 bets |
| jkerkela0xde18…7ca8 | No | 24 | 82.7¢ | $19 | — |
| exponentially0xa2d7…e3b7 | No | 22 | 77.5¢ | $17 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | No | 20 | 82.0¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| Staticglasshouse0x6580…96e5 | No | 13 | 80.8¢ | $10 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 8 | 81.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| 0x60ea…d120 | No | 7 | 82.7¢ | $5 | — |
| cjie18880x628c…8692 | No | 5 | 83.7¢ | $4 | — |
| Adam11110x72b5…8b54 | No | 5 | 88.5¢ | $4 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 9 | 14.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Punch0x94af…acee | No | 2 | 84.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x546a…1988 | No | 2 | 88.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.85 per $100 · 60,628 bets |
| crescidentialsuite0xd25d…4540 | No | 1 | 88.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0f62…515d | No | 1 | 78.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1c26…51be | No | 1 | 78.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4522…8e91 | No | 1 | 78.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4e96…97fe | No | 1 | 78.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5618…d7f8 | No | 1 | 78.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5949…90e5 | No | 1 | 78.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9c2b…6c7d | No | 1 | 78.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc773…2023 | No | 1 | 78.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc97b…82ef | No | 1 | 78.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe07d…814f | No | 1 | 78.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe95f…242d | No | 1 | 78.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xeba3…3443 | No | 1 | 78.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xfae6…13c4 | No | 1 | 78.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa158…59ad | No | 1 | 79.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6306…e4f6 | No | 1 | 80.8¢ | $1 | — |
| xwe334d0x2029…3b5d | No | 1 | 89.5¢ | $1 | — |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | Yes | 3 | 12.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 0 | 84.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 20 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.