Market · 15 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 23:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | No | 100 | 99.0¢ | $98 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 7,296 bets |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | No | 100 | 99.0¢ | $98 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 1,082 | 0.5¢ | $17 | — |
| L82880x0b5c…3748 | No | 15 | 99.0¢ | $15 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 5 | 99.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 229 | 1.0¢ | $4 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $2 | — |
| cicci0x2816…c473 | Yes | 76 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| eivid0x935d…96e9 | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 20 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,598 bets |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 16 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 10 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| 0x9bc0…71b6 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.