Market · 13 of 25 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 02:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hetacz0x6864…294b | No | 281 | 98.5¢ | $276 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 180 | 99.5¢ | $177 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 6,880 bets |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 5,000 | 3.8¢ | $85 | Losing−$6.74 per $100 · 2,996 bets |
| Elonurmom0x0f7f…6450 | Yes | 4,473 | 3.6¢ | $76 | — |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 2,500 | 2.0¢ | $43 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 1,976 | 0.5¢ | $34 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
13 more outcomes in this event.
These 25 outcomes add up to 103.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $1.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 25 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.