Market · 10 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 06:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iliabouchouev0x95dc…4b45 | No | 26 | 99.9¢ | $26 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 16,947 bets |
| asopi0xf0c2…d7f0 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| xc4940xf159…8822 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| mystery0x323d…781c | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.79 per $100 · 682 bets |
| tsklee0x8cef…6b6d | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| uo99980x0b05…8983 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| SDVC30x0edb…6cb9 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| FGH5450x12df…a21b | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| DFHG40x15eb…980d | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFBVE0x1c50…b4c7 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| CRE40x1c7f…5377 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x2bcc…a218 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| GHF5Y0x2c66…40a1 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| GFDBVC0x3635…a429 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| FD550x3f4f…5706 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| RDS320x406b…e7f3 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| weewdf0x444d…58bf | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| HJBVVV60x457c…5e89 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| FGHV50x4889…439f | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| GFD40x4d12…728b | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 5RE40x4efd…d195 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GERTVT430x5053…0bdf | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| GBVT430x51fb…7950 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| GFDY40x5312…6797 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFERT40x5862…792a | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| CVB40x5984…fda9 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DCBE0x59ae…6408 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| RTGFH54650x5a7a…95ee | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| GBVT43TY0x5da5…56ac | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| CVT340x5ee4…de03 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| EDFD30x6961…be88 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GF450x70ce…c0b0 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| HG54E0x760d…35ab | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFTD0x7726…1620 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| DFE34G0x7a6d…3a8c | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GHF30x82b9…18f1 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| SDBV40x8438…82d2 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GFVGT430x8599…da77 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| DFEERT0x87dd…40b7 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| D43T0x87ec…866f | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| EREW30x8962…f0ae | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| ERGC40x9053…5fdf | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| SXCE40x953e…2798 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| wsfd0x96de…3983 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| HGFRT4650x9812…d115 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| GBVT4350x9c13…ef84 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| DVGRT4650x9eb5…90e5 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| oppppop0x9ee7…e901 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 653RT4650xa0df…b071 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| FGDE30xa718…def3 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| RickRockRick0x35f3…cfd0 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.6¢ | $2 | — |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.6¢ | $2 | — |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 2,289 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 2,251 | 5.6¢ | $1 | — |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 792 | 10.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Feracios0xb816…9e90 | Yes | 500 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 500 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| stompychan0x79cb…331e | Yes | 389 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 39,976 bets |
| 0x90d7…5cb7 | Yes | 350 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa169…1b73 | Yes | 196 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | Yes | 162 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.93 per $100 · 12,423 bets |
| Qatalyst0x65f7…86dd | Yes | 146 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 135 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 100 | 11.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 80 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 54 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,277 bets |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 47 | 4.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| 0x0bdb…baca | Yes | 32 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 23 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 21 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| whereismymoney0x6d6b…0420 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,177 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 10 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 158,965+ bets · updating |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 6 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| wwder0x3424…5d5e | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| LiqProv0x3e3DE8538d11cB39FDcCD60F2591cd...0x3e3d…5bdf | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.36 per $100 · 23,187 bets |
| gogogo-v30x8c17…9098 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9bc0…71b6 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 5 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 1 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,872 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $890K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.