Market · 5 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 169 | 98.7¢ | $167 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 6,861 bets |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 3,094 | 5.3¢ | $36 | — |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.6¢ | $35 | — |
| RickRockRick0x35f3…cfd0 | Yes | 2,291 | 5.6¢ | $26 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.2¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,833+ bets · updating |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | Yes | 1,117 | 0.5¢ | $13 | — |
| stompychan0x79cb…331e | Yes | 529 | 0.1¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 39,976 bets |
| iliabouchouev0x95dc…4b45 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 16,947 bets |
| 0x9491…d473 | Yes | 317 | 0.1¢ | $4 | — |
| NotCopeGotHacked0xb017…e1e3 | Yes | 300 | 5.6¢ | $3 | — |
| tsklee0x8cef…6b6d | No | 3 | 99.2¢ | $3 | — |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 257 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 251 | 11.1¢ | $3 | — |
| redstar19870x9ffa…c8fc | Yes | 219 | 1.2¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.86 per $100 · 2,922 bets |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 200 | 11.1¢ | $2 | — |
| hoomanlover0xd661…0d4e | Yes | 165 | 1.1¢ | $2 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 152 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| Qatalyst0x65f7…86dd | Yes | 146 | 10.0¢ | $2 | — |
| JoyL0x0862…9a02 | Yes | 100 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 5.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 96 | 1.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 30,110 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 60 | 4.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,124 bets |
| Brotherinchrist0x6be9…3493 | Yes | 35 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 2,940 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 5.3¢ | $0 | — |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 19 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| navber0xbcfe…2d00 | Yes | 16 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.65 per $100 · 613 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 12 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 10 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| polijet0x9268…fb13 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 5 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 3 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 99.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,932 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 91 overlapping windows · 10 events · $831K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.