Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 754 events · $33.5M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
15 proven traders are on Yes, 19 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| chungguskhan0x7744…999e | No | 236,161 | 49.7¢ | $178K | Positive+$2.42 per $100 · 584 bets |
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | No | 140,632 | 63.1¢ | $106K | Proven+$8.15 per $100 · 530 bets |
| forcestrut10x0405…da82 | Yes | 374,097 | 53.6¢ | $91.7K | New0 settled bets |
| drop1260xee0f…4cf5 | Yes | 365,599 | 47.1¢ | $89.6K | New3 settled bets |
| 99problems1230x0042…321e | No | 56,878 | 62.7¢ | $42.9K | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 465 bets |
| jaja50500x7c87…9bd4 | No | 43,073 | 54.5¢ | $32.5K | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 375 bets |
| 0x095d…52cf | No | 38,727 | 66.1¢ | $29.2K | Losing−$2.80 per $100 · 676 bets |
| truefish310x811b…7006 | Yes | 101,869 | 43.6¢ | $25K | New0 settled bets |
| cambridgeisaac0xb51b…b4d9 | No | 29,443 | 71.9¢ | $22.2K | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 2,456 bets |
| PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9 | No | 26,143 | 56.8¢ | $19.7K | Proven+$4.68 per $100 · 2,389 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No | 25,067 | 69.5¢ | $18.9K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,938 bets |
| Polyticks0xfdfc…288c | No | 23,736 | 44.3¢ | $17.9K | Proven+$3.94 per $100 · 139 bets |
| Kevindoto0xcd71…d127 | No | 23,509 | 66.0¢ | $17.7K | Proven+$4.55 per $100 · 728 bets |
| dwarf1230x8dc9…434f | No | 19,803 | 72.5¢ | $15K | New9 settled bets |
| 0xheavy8880xec98…afcd | No | 17,000 | 57.4¢ | $12.8K | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 17,808 bets |
| 0xbe04…3c60 | No | 16,239 | 62.4¢ | $12.3K | Losing−$4.92 per $100 · 527 bets |
| Obilic0x1d7f…a878 | No | 13,490 | 59.4¢ | $10.2K | Break-even+$0.42 per $100 · 363 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 13,081 | 53.4¢ | $9.88K | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| InsiderrrZ0x69e7…d3b0 | No | 11,597 | 70.2¢ | $8.76K | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 1,156 bets |
| GrokEnjoyer0x92e5…efee | No | 11,499 | 60.7¢ | $8.68K | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 833 bets |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | No | 10,190 | 67.3¢ | $7.69K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
| javarisjavarjavarisonlamar0x3537…56ea | No | 10,000 | 66.5¢ | $7.55K | Proven+$6.70 per $100 · 202 bets |
| Epstein0xcf6e…b45b | No | 10,000 | 64.0¢ | $7.55K | Proven+$4.51 per $100 · 494 bets |
| metsW0x6e02…bfce | No | 9,995 | 49.0¢ | $7.55K | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 848 bets |
| ABC123ABC0xdabe…bd89 | Yes | 30,346 | 39.1¢ | $7.43K | New9 settled bets |
| Chungvicular0x41ea…7a3d | Yes | 26,646 | 39.7¢ | $6.53K | Proven+$6.94 per $100 · 188 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 8,363 | 60.1¢ | $6.31K | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | No | 8,278 | 60.0¢ | $6.25K | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,632 bets |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | No | 7,674 | 74.0¢ | $5.79K | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 730 bets |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 22,998 | 28.0¢ | $5.63K | Losing−$13.87 per $100 · 121 bets |
| KimJonEn0x8152…bfda | No | 6,609 | 51.4¢ | $4.99K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 1,459 bets |
| defillama70x4c8c…e36f | No | 5,566 | 78.2¢ | $4.2K | New64 settled bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 5,515 | 61.5¢ | $4.16K | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 5,513 | 72.6¢ | $4.16K | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,170 bets |
| mr.ozi0x614d…1546 | No | 5,000 | 70.2¢ | $3.78K | Proven+$4.91 per $100 · 2,290 bets |
| pegfault0x4a23…079f | No | 5,000 | 69.0¢ | $3.77K | New67 settled bets |
| Geminae.Columbae0x61ea…bbf7 | Yes | 15,181 | 34.6¢ | $3.72K | New98 settled bets |
| inventive0x7de7…a9c8 | No | 4,644 | 66.5¢ | $3.51K | New29 settled bets |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | No | 4,643 | 57.7¢ | $3.51K | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| DuneMentat0x28ca…5d19 | No | 4,625 | 40.0¢ | $3.49K | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 5,601 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | No | 4,417 | 68.6¢ | $3.33K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,062 bets |
| 0x63bf…e319 | No | 4,180 | 62.8¢ | $3.16K | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 295 bets |
| Specksalam0x80f1…3ccd | Yes | 12,781 | 29.0¢ | $3.13K | New88 settled bets |
| jtradegbr0x2bc7…e411 | No | 4,070 | 69.6¢ | $3.07K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 2,136 bets |
| OkaneKasegu0x5d74…ee45 | No | 4,000 | 64.0¢ | $3.02K | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 710 bets |
| Outsid3rTrading0xf1ef…8cd6 | No | 4,000 | 69.0¢ | $3.02K | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 2,138 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 3,129 | 69.5¢ | $2.36K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| pop0x6404…f250 | No | 3,120 | 72.0¢ | $2.36K | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 351 bets |
| Gdub0x0b64…49bd | No | 3,000 | 62.0¢ | $2.27K | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 1,466 bets |
| testing1231231230x4a74…d69e | No | 3,000 | 69.0¢ | $2.27K | Proven+$14.70 per $100 · 208 bets |
| 0x919d…60e1 | No | 3,000 | 64.6¢ | $2.27K | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 1,345 bets |
| tnl0xb619…5068 | No | 3,000 | 72.5¢ | $2.27K | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,244 bets |
| seal70x2b9d…adc0 | No | 2,849 | 66.3¢ | $2.15K | Proven+$9.63 per $100 · 898 bets |
| BTCGambler2470x31c5…ede4 | No | 2,776 | 69.0¢ | $2.1K | Proven+$9.51 per $100 · 524 bets |
| mewmew10xe95e…61f2 | No | 2,769 | 73.4¢ | $2.09K | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 1,290 bets |
| 0x8392…cc36 | No | 2,641 | 51.4¢ | $1.99K | New71 settled bets |
| moneymakingmachine0x420e…e3c9 | No | 2,592 | 69.0¢ | $1.96K | Losing−$3.26 per $100 · 1,693 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 7,500 | 43.0¢ | $1.84K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 7,100 | 28.2¢ | $1.74K | Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,368 bets |
| ComingBack0xd48a…6e90 | No | 2,259 | 69.9¢ | $1.71K | Losing−$2.09 per $100 · 11,101 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 6,138 | 29.2¢ | $1.5K | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| 0xfc91…31eb | Yes | 3,939 | 33.1¢ | $965 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 105 bets |
| Optimus-0xd5b9…e44e | Yes | 3,605 | 26.6¢ | $883 | Proven+$7.75 per $100 · 3,042 bets |
| 0x39fd…7d31 | Yes | 2,800 | 32.0¢ | $686 | Positive+$2.28 per $100 · 337 bets |
| WalterSobchack0x64be…c653 | Yes | 2,112 | 33.9¢ | $517 | Losing−$1.06 per $100 · 1,976 bets |
| Javier777Milei0x2e61…19bd | Yes | 2,000 | 31.9¢ | $490 | Positive+$1.85 per $100 · 844 bets |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | Yes | 1,778 | 29.5¢ | $436 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| 0x8f14…af60 | Yes | 1,600 | 31.9¢ | $392 | New38 settled bets |
| johnnyA0x11f3…d859 | Yes | 1,250 | 31.2¢ | $306 | Proven+$2.24 per $100 · 872 bets |
| c00kedforever0xb39a…abed | Yes | 1,221 | 40.5¢ | $299 | Losing−$4.92 per $100 · 438 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 1,200 | 34.3¢ | $294 | Proven+$21.25 per $100 · 1,817 bets |
| JAMJAMJAM40xe8c4…395d | Yes | 1,131 | 29.3¢ | $277 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 7,027 bets |
| 0x9e24…7e71 | Yes | 1,042 | 29.8¢ | $255 | Proven+$2.42 per $100 · 701 bets |
| 0x7272…a67d | Yes | 1,000 | 31.9¢ | $245 | New74 settled bets |
| Copezilla0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | 1,000 | 35.0¢ | $245 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| macroman1230x6027…da5b | Yes | 973 | 32.0¢ | $238 | New4 settled bets |
| JimRogers0x4ab4…40fd | Yes | 928 | 33.4¢ | $227 | New27 settled bets |
| crackenthusiast0xb5e2…e599 | Yes | 800 | 33.6¢ | $196 | Proven+$6.95 per $100 · 525 bets |
| baek-ahjin0xa0c4…978f | Yes | 760 | 32.0¢ | $186 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 209 bets |
| oneoftheppl0x4d1d…01ac | Yes | 755 | 28.4¢ | $185 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 7,427 bets |
| catTr0x8086…8d3e | Yes | 711 | 36.1¢ | $174 | New3 settled bets |
| notap0xc480…8d0d | Yes | 694 | 52.0¢ | $170 | New31 settled bets |
| TRADER4200x80cf…614d | Yes | 600 | 36.0¢ | $147 | Proven+$8.29 per $100 · 270 bets |
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | Yes | 500 | 32.1¢ | $123 | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| forever1230x8998…32be | Yes | 482 | 27.8¢ | $118 | New63 settled bets |
| axav0xc061…0529 | Yes | 450 | 35.0¢ | $110 | New25 settled bets |
| charliedub0xe3da…4b5e | Yes | 444 | 46.0¢ | $109 | New40 settled bets |
| 0x5c66…31e3 | Yes | 404 | 47.5¢ | $99 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 621 bets |
| Spectrum0x0781…c4ff | Yes | 367 | 26.3¢ | $90 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 6,285 bets |
| 0x8dd2…6ba2 | Yes | 335 | 36.8¢ | $82 | New34 settled bets |
| ineedmassage0x90f7…2501 | Yes | 308 | 37.9¢ | $75 | Proven+$2.78 per $100 · 1,112 bets |
| banestow0x3080…337b | Yes | 299 | 29.1¢ | $73 | Losing−$20.74 per $100 · 495 bets |
| Milton..Friedman0xb755…3551 | Yes | 292 | 36.0¢ | $71 | New1 settled bet |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 288 | 28.0¢ | $70 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| Judea-Pearl0x4e94…d649 | Yes | 285 | 27.2¢ | $70 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 518 bets |
| mitziman0x9abd…6ed2 | Yes | 282 | 34.9¢ | $69 | New0 settled bets |
| thursdays0x04dc…2387 | Yes | 265 | 25.8¢ | $65 | Positive+$1.42 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| plataoplomo-6700xc16b…d2da | Yes | 260 | 33.3¢ | $64 | — |
| sunshines0xa7ee…421b | Yes | 76 | 43.6¢ | $19 | Proven+$7.74 per $100 · 320 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.