Market · 14 of 22 outcomes
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| wish-0x72a2…7b65 | No | 1,000 | 99.0¢ | $995 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 1,975 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 154 | 99.0¢ | $153 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 80 | 99.7¢ | $80 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,396 bets |
| rafb0x99fe…5705 | No | 63 | 98.8¢ | $62 | — |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 38 | 99.4¢ | $38 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 3,914 | 0.5¢ | $22 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 105.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.