Market · 4 of 22 outcomes
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| varch010x0362…449e | No | 500 | 95.0¢ | $477 | Losing−$1.95 per $100 · 13,127 bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 8,560 | 7.4¢ | $389 | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 287 | 89.2¢ | $274 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,057 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | Yes | 3,000 | 4.5¢ | $137 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 2,412 bets |
| 0x1ff3…eb39 | Yes | 2,525 | 4.9¢ | $115 | Positive+$3.53 per $100 · 336 bets |
| lottonakamoto0x2884…d0c3 | No | 95 | 96.0¢ | $91 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 990 bets |
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 104.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.