Market · 4 of 22 outcomes
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| varch010x0362…449e | No | 500 | 95.0¢ | $480 | Losing−$1.95 per $100 · 13,127 bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 8,678 | 7.4¢ | $347 | Positive+$11.50 per $100 · 2,033 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 287 | 89.2¢ | $276 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 66,068 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | Yes | 3,000 | 4.5¢ | $120 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 2,412 bets |
| 0x1ff3…eb39 | Yes | 2,695 | 4.9¢ | $108 | Positive+$3.53 per $100 · 336 bets |
| lottonakamoto0x2884…d0c3 | No | 95 | 96.0¢ | $91 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 990 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 89 | 94.9¢ | $86 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,710 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | 1,224 | 3.3¢ | $49 | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 2,232 bets |
| QuarterlyComeback0x5a22…17a6 | Yes | 1,067 | 9.4¢ | $43 | Proven+$7.94 per $100 · 469 bets |
| Hot-Skull0xd12f…e85a | Yes | 1,004 | 2.2¢ | $40 | — |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 38 | 92.1¢ | $36 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 891 | 4.9¢ | $36 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,511+ bets · updating |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 852 | 3.4¢ | $34 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| 0x8b54…167f | No | 34 | 90.2¢ | $33 | — |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 644 | 10.9¢ | $26 | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 544 | 4.4¢ | $22 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 542 | 4.5¢ | $22 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,906 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 394 | 4.5¢ | $16 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,047 bets |
| rocky420080x79dc…ca77 | Yes | 300 | 7.8¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.10 per $100 · 5,361 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 259 | 4.2¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 11 | 88.4¢ | $10 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 216 | 4.5¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 215 | 11.3¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| 0x9c84…be53 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $8 | — |
| Cioppolacchio0x93f9…69b7 | Yes | 196 | 5.1¢ | $8 | — |
| hgnucusc0x2427…cfae | Yes | 145 | 3.5¢ | $6 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 120 | 3.6¢ | $5 | — |
| Banditoes0xe7fe…24e5 | Yes | 100 | 9.0¢ | $4 | — |
| haouibao0xa499…2a2b | Yes | 95 | 5.2¢ | $4 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 4 | 89.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 87 | 3.6¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 86 | 2.3¢ | $3 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 81 | 5.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 79 | 3.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 18,435 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 60 | 3.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.02 per $100 · 18,923 bets |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 50 | 3.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| MrGrunbaum0xaf1f…9dc5 | Yes | 50 | 12.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 47 | 3.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.40 per $100 · 296 bets |
| carlosandrea0x4b10…e48f | Yes | 43 | 6.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd823…12fe | No | 1 | 88.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x65ef…a902 | Yes | 30 | 3.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x05b2…c70d | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd517…f8b6 | No | 1 | 86.4¢ | $1 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 28 | 1.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | 27 | 3.6¢ | $1 | — |
| acc320x3a30…99ec | Yes | 25 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.36 per $100 · 2,439 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 24 | 3.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | Yes | 22 | 11.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| nikos.paixtis0xf841…b2eb | Yes | 22 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | $1 | — |
| qiuqiuqiu3340xfbae…b1a9 | Yes | 18 | 5.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 18 | 4.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 10 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | Yes | 10 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | Yes | 10 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 0 | 98.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 0 | 90.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| AJstarstyle0xc724…3129 | Yes | 9 | 11.2¢ | $0 | — |
| tweetmaster0xe215…1c22 | Yes | 9 | 16.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6fbc…fa10 | Yes | 7 | 3.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.87 per $100 · 1,441 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | Yes | 6 | 11.9¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C50xae58…e5c5 | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 3 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| skyrocks0xa3cf…1a67 | No | 0 | 89.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 0 | 85.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| 0x1241…d325 | No | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd011…e928 | Yes | 1 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 95.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | No | 0 | 88.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.90 per $100 · 4,676 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | No | 0 | 95.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| anonum0xad5c…b927 | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 11.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.