Market · 1 of 22 outcomes
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 105.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 15,013 | 35.9¢ | $7.13K | Positive+$11.47 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | No | 9,267 | 56.7¢ | $4.87K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 4,268 | 32.3¢ | $2.03K | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,391 bets |
| hfv0xe102…71df | No | 2,789 | 58.0¢ | $1.46K | — |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | Yes | 3,000 | 4.5¢ | $1.43K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| Noname3330x6c17…6a7e | Yes | 2,790 | 33.1¢ | $1.33K | Proven+$4.18 per $100 · 460 bets |