Market · 10 of 22 outcomes
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
10 more outcomes in this event.
These 22 outcomes add up to 106.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 80 | 98.0¢ | $79 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,412 bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 4,161 | 1.3¢ | $46 | Positive+$11.47 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | Yes | 3,000 | 4.5¢ | $33 | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| 0xd717…3b85 | No | 28 | 98.7¢ | $27 | — |
| whig0x40cf…d21d | Yes | 2,000 | 1.1¢ | $22 | Proven+$11.46 per $100 · 1,102 bets |
| 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | 1,297 | 0.9¢ | $14 | Positive+$13.19 per $100 · 8,595 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.